CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
GameHunters#122 in the world · win 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ALKA#129 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GameHunters pick
33%60%
GameHunters · 8 mapsedge ALKA +27%ALKA · 1 map
NukeALKA pick
50%63%
GameHunters · 4 mapsedge ALKA +13%ALKA · 4 maps
DefaultGameHunters ban
30%40%
GameHunters · 6 mapsedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 1 map
MirageALKA ban
29%57%
GameHunters · 3 mapsedge ALKA +28%ALKA · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%60%
GameHunters · 4 mapsedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 1 map
InfernoALKA ban
40%50%
GameHunters · 1 mapedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 2 maps
AnubisGameHunters ban
40%40%
GameHunters · 1 mapnearly even +0%ALKA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGameHunters remove Anubis
2. BanALKA remove Inferno
3. PickGameHunters take Dust2
4. PickALKA take Nuke
5. BanALKA remove Mirage
6. BanGameHunters remove Default
DeciderAncient (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
GameHunters 27%ALKA 73%
The model gave 73% on ALKA — the map was taken by GameHunters.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
GameHunters 37%ALKA 63%
The model gave 63% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
GameHunters 23%ALKA 77%
The model gave 77% on ALKA — the map was taken by GameHunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 51%
Series resultGameHunters 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3