XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · loss 10:13series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 10:13
Nemesis#43 in the world · win 13:10The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
40%67%
B8 · 11 mapsedge Nemesis +27%Nemesis · 8 maps
AncientNemesis ban
57%50%
B8 · 10 mapsedge B8 +7%Nemesis · 8 maps
NukeB8 ban
50%77%
B8 · 4 mapsedge Nemesis +27%Nemesis · 9 maps
Dust2Nemesis ban
56%50%
B8 · 5 mapsedge B8 +6%Nemesis · 6 maps
InfernoB8 ban
57%67%
B8 · 3 mapsedge Nemesis +10%Nemesis · 8 maps
OverpassNemesis ban
56%43%
B8 · 5 mapsedge B8 +13%Nemesis · 3 maps
DefaultB8 ban
50%67%
B8 · 0 mapsedge Nemesis +17%Nemesis · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Nuke
2. BanNemesis remove Overpass
3. BanB8 remove Default
4. BanNemesis remove Ancient
5. BanB8 remove Inferno
6. BanNemesis remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (40% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
B8 57%Nemesis 43%
The model gave 57% on B8 — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 76%
Series resultNemesis 10:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1