?
GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BET-M#65 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
61%42%
1win · 14 mapsedge 1win +19%BET-M · 8 maps
MirageBET-M pick
38%55%
1win · 12 mapsedge BET-M +17%BET-M · 7 maps
AncientBET-M ban
56%33%
1win · 12 mapsedge 1win +23%BET-M · 5 maps
Anubis1win ban
36%57%
1win · 10 mapsedge BET-M +21%BET-M · 3 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%45%
1win · 2 mapsedge 1win +22%BET-M · 7 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%54%
1win · 0 mapsnearly even -4%BET-M · 9 maps
CacheBET-M ban
64%50%
1win · 7 mapsedge 1win +14%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanBET-M remove Ancient
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickBET-M take Mirage
5. BanBET-M remove Cache
6. Ban1win remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (67% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed7:13
1win 68%BET-M 32%
The model gave 68% on 1win — the map was taken by BET-M.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
1win 71%BET-M 29%
The model gave 71% on 1win — the map was taken by 1win.
Ancientprediction correct16:14
1win 72%BET-M 28%
The model gave 72% on 1win — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 73%
Series result1win 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3