CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
36%64%
1win · 7 mapsedge Virtus.pro +28%Virtus.pro · 7 maps
Dust21win pick
67%50%
1win · 5 mapsedge 1win +17%Virtus.pro · 8 maps
OverpassVirtus.pro pick
38%62%
1win · 4 mapsedge Virtus.pro +24%Virtus.pro · 9 maps
Ancient1win ban
43%63%
1win · 3 mapsedge Virtus.pro +20%Virtus.pro · 4 maps
AnubisVirtus.pro ban
57%50%
1win · 3 mapsedge 1win +7%Virtus.pro · 4 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%75%
1win · 0 mapsedge Virtus.pro +25%Virtus.pro · 4 maps
InfernoVirtus.pro ban
67%50%
1win · 2 mapsedge 1win +17%Virtus.pro · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanVirtus.pro remove Inferno
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickVirtus.pro take Overpass
5. BanVirtus.pro remove Anubis
6. Ban1win remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (36% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
1win 69%Virtus.pro 31%
The model gave 69% on 1win — the map was taken by 1win.
Overpassprediction correct10:13
1win 25%Virtus.pro 75%
The model gave 75% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Mirageprediction correct7:13
1win 25%Virtus.pro 75%
The model gave 75% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 59%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3