Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
FOKUS#46 in the worldseries probability
55%45%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FOKUS pick
60%55%
FOKUS · 11 mapsedge FOKUS +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 16 maps
NukeFOKUS ban
36%53%
FOKUS · 7 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 13 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
33%58%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +25%ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
44%50%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +6%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
71%73%
FOKUS · 3 mapsnearly even -2%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
63%40%
FOKUS · 4 mapsedge FOKUS +23%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%50%
FOKUS · 8 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickFOKUS take Dust2
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
6. BanFOKUS remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (44% / 50%)