XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
9z#17 in the world · win 13:5series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 13:5
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 5:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SINNERS ban
53%50%
9z · 11 mapsnearly even +3%SINNERS · 2 maps
InfernoSINNERS ban
58%25%
9z · 8 mapsedge 9z +33%SINNERS · 4 maps
Mirage9z ban
33%63%
9z · 8 mapsedge SINNERS +30%SINNERS · 4 maps
Overpasspossible decider
69%67%
9z · 9 mapsnearly even +2%SINNERS · 2 maps
Nuke9z ban
55%43%
9z · 7 mapsedge 9z +12%SINNERS · 3 maps
AncientSINNERS ban
50%29%
9z · 6 mapsedge 9z +21%SINNERS · 3 maps
Anubis9z ban
40%50%
9z · 1 mapedge SINNERS +10%SINNERS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9z remove Anubis
2. BanSINNERS remove Ancient
3. Ban9z remove Mirage
4. BanSINNERS remove Inferno
5. Ban9z remove Nuke
6. BanSINNERS remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (69% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
9z 53%SINNERS 47%
The model gave 53% on 9z — the map was taken by 9z.
Model check result
Model favorite9z · 79%
Series result9z 13:5
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1