CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SAW#61 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Wampirki ban
50%46%
Wampirki · 0 mapsnearly even +4%SAW · 9 maps
AncientWampirki pick
50%36%
Wampirki · 0 mapsedge Wampirki +14%SAW · 7 maps
InfernoSAW pick
50%70%
Wampirki · 0 mapsedge SAW +20%SAW · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%50%
Wampirki · 3 mapsedge Wampirki +7%SAW · 2 maps
AnubisWampirki ban
50%38%
Wampirki · 0 mapsedge Wampirki +12%SAW · 4 maps
MirageSAW ban
50%38%
Wampirki · 0 mapsedge Wampirki +12%SAW · 4 maps
NukeSAW ban
50%33%
Wampirki · 0 mapsedge Wampirki +17%SAW · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWampirki remove Dust2
2. BanSAW remove Nuke
3. PickWampirki take Ancient
4. PickSAW take Inferno
5. BanSAW remove Mirage
6. BanWampirki remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
Wampirki 66%SAW 34%
The model gave 66% on Wampirki — the map was taken by SAW.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Wampirki 28%SAW 72%
The model gave 72% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW · 55%
Series resultSAW 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2