XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Luminosity#30 in the world · loss 8:13series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 8:13
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · win 13:8The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Luminosity ban
50%67%
Luminosity · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%45%
Luminosity · 0 mapsedge Luminosity +5%Lynn Vision · 7 maps
InfernoLynn Vision ban
40%33%
Luminosity · 1 mapedge Luminosity +7%Lynn Vision · 5 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
50%43%
Luminosity · 0 mapsedge Luminosity +7%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
NukeLuminosity ban
50%57%
Luminosity · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +7%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
OverpassLuminosity ban
50%67%
Luminosity · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLuminosity remove Nuke
2. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
3. BanLuminosity remove Dust2
4. BanLynn Vision remove Inferno
5. BanLuminosity remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
Luminosity 57%Lynn Vision 43%
The model gave 57% on Luminosity — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteLuminosity · 62%
Series resultLynn Vision 8:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1