CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW#61 in the world · win 2:1series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SAW pick
42%42%
SAW · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Just Players · 8 maps
AncientSAW ban
30%54%
SAW · 6 mapsedge Just Players +24%Just Players · 9 maps
MirageJust Players pick
38%57%
SAW · 4 mapsedge Just Players +19%Just Players · 10 maps
NukeJust Players ban
33%42%
SAW · 2 mapsedge Just Players +9%Just Players · 8 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
70%50%
SAW · 6 mapsedge SAW +20%Just Players · 0 maps
OverpassSAW ban
50%60%
SAW · 0 mapsedge Just Players +10%Just Players · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
43%67%
SAW · 3 mapsedge Just Players +24%Just Players · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW remove Overpass
2. BanJust Players remove Inferno
3. PickSAW take Dust2
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Nuke
6. BanSAW remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (43% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
SAW 30%Just Players 70%
The model gave 70% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
SAW 25%Just Players 75%
The model gave 75% on Just Players — the map was taken by SAW.
Dust2prediction correct22:20
SAW 50%Just Players 50%
The model gave 50% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 69%
Series resultSAW 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3