XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISION#11 in the world · win 13:4series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 13:4
Alliance#22 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoPARIVISION ban
25%80%
PARIVISION · 4 mapsedge Alliance +55%Alliance · 11 maps
AncientAlliance ban
40%60%
PARIVISION · 6 mapsedge Alliance +20%Alliance · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%50%
PARIVISION · 6 mapsedge PARIVISION +10%Alliance · 6 maps
NukePARIVISION ban
50%57%
PARIVISION · 0 mapsedge Alliance +7%Alliance · 10 maps
AnubisPARIVISION ban
40%36%
PARIVISION · 1 mapnearly even +4%Alliance · 7 maps
MirageAlliance ban
50%50%
PARIVISION · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Alliance · 0 maps
OverpassAlliance ban
40%29%
PARIVISION · 1 mapedge PARIVISION +11%Alliance · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPARIVISION remove Nuke
2. BanAlliance remove Mirage
3. BanPARIVISION remove Inferno
4. BanAlliance remove Overpass
5. BanPARIVISION remove Anubis
6. BanAlliance remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
PARIVISION 31%Alliance 69%
The model gave 69% on Alliance — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 61%
Series resultPARIVISION 13:4
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1