CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
DONSTU#221 in the world · win 1:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisMai Tai ban
53%50%
DONSTU · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Dust2Mai Tai pick
43%50%
DONSTU · 10 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%Mai Tai · 0 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
36%50%
DONSTU · 7 mapsedge Mai Tai +14%Mai Tai · 0 maps
AncientDONSTU ban
50%50%
DONSTU · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%40%
DONSTU · 2 mapsedge DONSTU +27%Mai Tai · 1 map
NukeDONSTU ban
43%50%
DONSTU · 3 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%Mai Tai · 0 maps
DefaultDONSTU pick
50%60%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +10%Mai Tai · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDONSTU remove Nuke
2. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
3. PickDONSTU take Default
4. PickMai Tai take Dust2
5. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
6. BanDONSTU remove Ancient
DeciderCache (67% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
DONSTU 40%Mai Tai 60%
The model gave 60% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 57%
Series resultDONSTU 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1