XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
3DMAX#20 in the world · win 16:14series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 16:14
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 14:16The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient3DMAX ban
40%45%
3DMAX · 1 mapedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +5%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 7 maps
Anubispossible decider
33%57%
3DMAX · 2 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +24%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 3 maps
Nuke3DMAX ban
50%78%
3DMAX · 0 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +28%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
50%50%
3DMAX · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
60%33%
3DMAX · 1 mapedge 3DMAX +27%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 2 maps
InfernoNinjas in Pyjamas ban
33%50%
3DMAX · 2 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +17%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
2. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Inferno
3. Ban3DMAX remove Nuke
4. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
5. Ban3DMAX remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (33% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed16:14
3DMAX 27%Ninjas in Pyjamas 73%
The model gave 73% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 53%
Series result3DMAX 16:14
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1