ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Club 333#229 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
DETONATE#196 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoClub 333 pick
75%38%
Club 333 · 4 mapsedge Club 333 +37%DETONATE · 9 maps
MirageDETONATE ban
33%30%
Club 333 · 5 mapsnearly even +3%DETONATE · 6 maps
CacheDETONATE pick
50%56%
Club 333 · 0 mapsedge DETONATE +6%DETONATE · 5 maps
AncientClub 333 ban
40%43%
Club 333 · 1 mapnearly even -3%DETONATE · 3 maps
Dust2DETONATE ban
50%50%
Club 333 · 4 mapsnearly even +0%DETONATE · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%50%
Club 333 · 1 mapedge DETONATE +10%DETONATE · 2 maps
AnubisClub 333 ban
50%33%
Club 333 · 0 mapsedge Club 333 +17%DETONATE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanClub 333 remove Ancient
2. BanDETONATE remove Dust2
3. PickClub 333 take Inferno
4. PickDETONATE take Cache
5. BanDETONATE remove Mirage
6. BanClub 333 remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
Club 333 84%DETONATE 16%
The model gave 84% on Club 333 — the map was taken by Club 333.
Cacheprediction correct10:13
Club 333 42%DETONATE 58%
The model gave 58% on DETONATE — the map was taken by DETONATE.
Nukeprediction correct5:13
Club 333 40%DETONATE 60%
The model gave 60% on DETONATE — the map was taken by DETONATE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDETONATE · 53%
Series resultDETONATE 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3