FERJEE In House Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoImperial pick
64%38%
Imperial · 24 mapsedge Imperial +26%Galorys · 4 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
56%53%
Imperial · 14 mapsnearly even +3%Galorys · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
70%64%
Imperial · 19 mapsedge Imperial +6%Galorys · 7 maps
MirageGalorys ban
70%50%
Imperial · 23 mapsedge Imperial +20%Galorys · 0 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%82%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Galorys +32%Galorys · 18 maps
AnubisImperial ban
58%46%
Imperial · 8 mapsedge Imperial +12%Galorys · 9 maps
CacheGalorys pick
63%67%
Imperial · 12 mapsnearly even -4%Galorys · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanGalorys remove Mirage
3. PickImperial take Inferno
4. PickGalorys take Cache
5. BanGalorys remove Dust2
6. BanImperial remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (70% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed16:12
Imperial 42%Galorys 58%
The model gave 58% on Galorys — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
Imperial 77%Galorys 23%
The model gave 77% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 72%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2