ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lynn Vision#36 in the world · win 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEXVOID#102 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNEXVOID pick
67%67%
Lynn Vision · 8 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 17 maps
AncientLynn Vision ban
42%75%
Lynn Vision · 8 mapsedge NEXVOID +33%NEXVOID · 16 maps
Dust2Lynn Vision ban
47%46%
Lynn Vision · 11 mapsnearly even +1%NEXVOID · 9 maps
NukeLynn Vision pick
71%40%
Lynn Vision · 3 mapsedge Lynn Vision +31%NEXVOID · 6 maps
CacheNEXVOID ban
33%22%
Lynn Vision · 2 mapsedge Lynn Vision +11%NEXVOID · 5 maps
AnubisNEXVOID ban
50%50%
Lynn Vision · 2 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Lynn Vision · 1 mapnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLynn Vision remove Ancient
2. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
3. PickLynn Vision take Nuke
4. PickNEXVOID take Inferno
5. BanNEXVOID remove Anubis
6. BanLynn Vision remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed16:14
Lynn Vision 17%NEXVOID 83%
The model gave 83% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
Lynn Vision 81%NEXVOID 19%
The model gave 81% on Lynn Vision — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteLynn Vision · 84%
Series resultLynn Vision 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2