CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Endless Journey#172 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEntropy pick
50%57%
Entropy · 8 mapsedge Endless Journey +7%Endless Journey · 3 maps
AnubisEndless Journey ban
50%33%
Entropy · 8 mapsedge Entropy +17%Endless Journey · 2 maps
MirageEndless Journey pick
42%67%
Entropy · 8 mapsedge Endless Journey +25%Endless Journey · 2 maps
InfernoEndless Journey ban
38%43%
Entropy · 4 mapsedge Endless Journey +5%Endless Journey · 3 maps
Dust2possible decider
57%57%
Entropy · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Endless Journey · 3 maps
OverpassEntropy ban
38%60%
Entropy · 4 mapsedge Endless Journey +22%Endless Journey · 1 map
NukeEntropy ban
50%63%
Entropy · 0 mapsedge Endless Journey +13%Endless Journey · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Nuke
2. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
3. PickEntropy take Ancient
4. PickEndless Journey take Mirage
5. BanEndless Journey remove Inferno
6. BanEntropy remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (57% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Entropy 24%Endless Journey 76%
The model gave 76% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
Entropy 69%Endless Journey 31%
The model gave 69% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
Entropy 50%Endless Journey 50%
The model gave 50% on Entropy — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 56%
Series resultEndless Journey 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3