CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · win 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon pick
50%50%
Procyon · 6 mapsnearly even +0%ex-KRÜ · 6 maps
MirageProcyon ban
40%43%
Procyon · 6 mapsnearly even -3%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
25%67%
Procyon · 4 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +42%ex-KRÜ · 5 maps
Infernoex-KRÜ ban
50%29%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge Procyon +21%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
AncientProcyon ban
40%43%
Procyon · 1 mapnearly even -3%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%33%
Procyon · 1 mapedge Procyon +7%ex-KRÜ · 2 maps
Overpassex-KRÜ ban
60%40%
Procyon · 1 mapedge Procyon +20%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Ancient
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Overpass
3. PickProcyon take Dust2
4. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
5. Banex-KRÜ remove Inferno
6. BanProcyon remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (40% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Procyon 57%ex-KRÜ 43%
The model gave 57% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 52%
Series resultProcyon 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1