CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GameHunters#122 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Yawara pick
67%36%
Yawara · 14 mapsedge Yawara +31%GameHunters · 7 maps
MirageGameHunters ban
67%33%
Yawara · 11 mapsedge Yawara +34%GameHunters · 2 maps
AncientGameHunters pick
38%43%
Yawara · 9 mapsedge GameHunters +5%GameHunters · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%30%
Yawara · 1 mapedge Yawara +30%GameHunters · 6 maps
InfernoYawara ban
50%40%
Yawara · 6 mapsedge Yawara +10%GameHunters · 1 map
AnubisGameHunters ban
44%40%
Yawara · 5 mapsnearly even +4%GameHunters · 1 map
NukeYawara ban
50%50%
Yawara · 0 mapsnearly even +0%GameHunters · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Nuke
2. BanGameHunters remove Mirage
3. PickYawara take Dust2
4. PickGameHunters take Ancient
5. BanGameHunters remove Anubis
6. BanYawara remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 30%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
Yawara 42%GameHunters 58%
The model gave 58% on GameHunters — the map was taken by GameHunters.
Mirageprediction correct16:14
Yawara 82%GameHunters 18%
The model gave 82% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Yawara 78%GameHunters 22%
The model gave 78% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 68%
Series resultYawara 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3