CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Subtop De France pick
38%40%
Subtop De France · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Julie&Cie · 6 maps
AncientJulie&Cie ban
33%38%
Subtop De France · 2 mapsedge Julie&Cie +5%Julie&Cie · 4 maps
InfernoSubtop De France ban
43%43%
Subtop De France · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Julie&Cie · 3 maps
MirageSubtop De France ban
50%29%
Subtop De France · 0 mapsedge Subtop De France +21%Julie&Cie · 3 maps
AnubisJulie&Cie pick
50%50%
Subtop De France · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Julie&Cie · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Subtop De France · 1 mapnearly even +0%Julie&Cie · 1 map
NukeJulie&Cie ban
50%50%
Subtop De France · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Julie&Cie · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSubtop De France remove Mirage
2. BanJulie&Cie remove Nuke
3. PickSubtop De France take Dust2
4. PickJulie&Cie take Anubis
5. BanJulie&Cie remove Ancient
6. BanSubtop De France remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Subtop De France 53%Julie&Cie 47%
The model gave 53% on Subtop De France — the map was taken by Subtop De France.
Anubisprediction missed13:6
Subtop De France 47%Julie&Cie 53%
The model gave 53% on Julie&Cie — the map was taken by Subtop De France.
Model check result
Model favoriteJulie&Cie · 59%
Series resultSubtop De France 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2