CROSSFIRE Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Beyond Limits#216 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Club 333#229 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Beyond Limits ban
50%50%
Beyond Limits · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Club 333 · 6 maps
InfernoClub 333 ban
50%44%
Beyond Limits · 0 mapsedge Beyond Limits +6%Club 333 · 5 maps
NukeBeyond Limits pick
50%50%
Beyond Limits · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Club 333 · 4 maps
MirageClub 333 pick
50%50%
Beyond Limits · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Club 333 · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBeyond Limits remove Dust2
2. BanClub 333 remove Inferno
3. PickBeyond Limits take Nuke
4. PickClub 333 take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Beyond Limits 53%Club 333 47%
The model gave 53% on Beyond Limits — the map was taken by Beyond Limits.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
Beyond Limits 53%Club 333 47%
The model gave 53% on Beyond Limits — the map was taken by Club 333.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
Beyond Limits 50%Club 333 50%
The model gave 50% on Beyond Limits — the map was taken by Club 333.
Model check result
Model favoriteClub 333 · 53%
Series resultClub 333 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3