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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Just Players#116 in the world · loss 0:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Atreides#147 in the world · win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
57%80%
Just Players · 10 mapsedge Atreides +23%Atreides · 11 maps
AncientAtreides pick
54%58%
Just Players · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Atreides · 8 maps
OverpassAtreides ban
60%43%
Just Players · 6 mapsedge Just Players +17%Atreides · 10 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
42%40%
Just Players · 8 mapsnearly even +2%Atreides · 6 maps
NukeJust Players ban
42%56%
Just Players · 8 mapsedge Atreides +14%Atreides · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%44%
Just Players · 2 mapsedge Just Players +6%Atreides · 5 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
50%64%
Just Players · 0 mapsedge Atreides +14%Atreides · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Inferno
2. BanAtreides remove Dust2
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. PickAtreides take Ancient
5. BanAtreides remove Overpass
6. BanJust Players remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Just Players 56%Atreides 44%
The model gave 56% on Just Players — the map was taken by Atreides.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 54%
Series resultAtreides 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1