CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
OlyBet#225 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
DONSTU#221 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2OlyBet pick
50%43%
OlyBet · 6 mapsedge OlyBet +7%DONSTU · 10 maps
AnubisOlyBet ban
50%47%
OlyBet · 0 mapsnearly even +3%DONSTU · 11 maps
InfernoOlyBet ban
43%40%
OlyBet · 3 mapsnearly even +3%DONSTU · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%50%
OlyBet · 2 mapsedge OlyBet +17%DONSTU · 6 maps
NukeDONSTU ban
44%33%
OlyBet · 5 mapsedge OlyBet +11%DONSTU · 2 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
57%50%
OlyBet · 3 mapsedge OlyBet +7%DONSTU · 0 maps
CacheDONSTU pick
40%60%
OlyBet · 1 mapedge DONSTU +20%DONSTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOlyBet remove Anubis
2. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
3. PickOlyBet take Dust2
4. PickDONSTU take Cache
5. BanDONSTU remove Nuke
6. BanOlyBet remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
OlyBet 64%DONSTU 36%
The model gave 64% on OlyBet — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Anubisprediction missed7:13
OlyBet 50%DONSTU 50%
The model gave 50% on OlyBet — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteDONSTU · 56%
Series resultDONSTU 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2