Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ShindeN#77 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
67%50%
UNO MILLE · 14 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%ShindeN · 4 maps
InfernoShindeN pick
67%63%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsnearly even +4%ShindeN · 4 maps
NukeShindeN ban
67%40%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge UNO MILLE +27%ShindeN · 6 maps
Overpasspossible decider
64%71%
UNO MILLE · 7 mapsedge ShindeN +7%ShindeN · 3 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
44%63%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge ShindeN +19%ShindeN · 4 maps
AncientUNO MILLE ban
57%71%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge ShindeN +14%ShindeN · 3 maps
AnubisShindeN ban
60%50%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%ShindeN · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
2. BanShindeN remove Anubis
3. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
4. PickShindeN take Inferno
5. BanShindeN remove Nuke
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (64% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
UNO MILLE 38%ShindeN 62%
The model gave 62% on ShindeN — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Overpassprediction correct5:13
UNO MILLE 38%ShindeN 62%
The model gave 62% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Infernoprediction missed2:13
UNO MILLE 55%ShindeN 45%
The model gave 55% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 51%
Series resultShindeN 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3