CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
VEXA#257 in the world · win 1:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-KRÜ pick
50%50%
VEXA · 6 mapsnearly even +0%ex-KRÜ · 6 maps
MirageVEXA ban
38%43%
VEXA · 4 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +5%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
AncientVEXA pick
57%43%
VEXA · 3 mapsedge VEXA +14%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
Infernoex-KRÜ ban
29%29%
VEXA · 3 mapsnearly even +0%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
NukeVEXA ban
40%67%
VEXA · 1 mapedge ex-KRÜ +27%ex-KRÜ · 5 maps
Anubisex-KRÜ ban
67%50%
VEXA · 5 mapsedge VEXA +17%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%40%
VEXA · 1 mapedge VEXA +20%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVEXA remove Nuke
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Anubis
3. PickVEXA take Ancient
4. Pickex-KRÜ take Dust2
5. Banex-KRÜ remove Inferno
6. BanVEXA remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
VEXA 69%ex-KRÜ 31%
The model gave 69% on VEXA — the map was taken by VEXA.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 50%
Series resultVEXA 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1