Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
ShindeN#77 in the world · win 2:0series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LP#107 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ShindeN ban
50%63%
ShindeN · 4 mapsedge LP +13%LP · 12 maps
NukeShindeN pick
40%67%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge LP +27%LP · 8 maps
InfernoLP pick
57%79%
ShindeN · 3 mapsedge LP +22%LP · 10 maps
MirageLP ban
63%54%
ShindeN · 4 mapsedge ShindeN +9%LP · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%57%
ShindeN · 2 mapsedge ShindeN +10%LP · 10 maps
OverpassLP ban
71%44%
ShindeN · 3 mapsedge ShindeN +27%LP · 5 maps
DefaultShindeN ban
50%67%
ShindeN · 0 mapsedge LP +17%LP · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShindeN remove Default
2. BanLP remove Overpass
3. PickShindeN take Nuke
4. PickLP take Inferno
5. BanLP remove Mirage
6. BanShindeN remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (67% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
ShindeN 29%LP 71%
The model gave 71% on LP — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
ShindeN 57%LP 43%
The model gave 57% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 65%
Series resultShindeN 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2