Urban Riga Open Season 5 · BO1
result vs prediction
GAMEHARMONYloss 7:13series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 7:13
Aimhaus#381 in the world · win 13:7The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2
40%40%
GAMEHARMONY · 1 mapnearly even +0%Aimhaus · 1 map
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
GAMEHARMONY 50%Aimhaus 50%
The model gave 50% on GAMEHARMONY — the map was taken by Aimhaus.
Model check result
Model favoriteGAMEHARMONY · 50%
Series resultAimhaus 7:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1