CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR fe#203 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
50%73%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +23%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 7 maps
MirageMIBR fe ban
50%60%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 6 maps
AncientMIBR fe pick
50%50%
MIBR fe · 2 mapsnearly even +0%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 2 maps
Dust2MIBR fe ban
60%71%
MIBR fe · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +11%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 3 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%60%
MIBR fe · 1 mapnearly even +0%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
NukeQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
60%60%
MIBR fe · 1 mapnearly even +0%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
AnubisQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
50%40%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge MIBR fe +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR fe remove Mirage
2. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Nuke
3. PickMIBR fe take Ancient
4. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Cache
5. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Anubis
6. BanMIBR fe remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
MIBR fe 25%QUINTESSÊNCIA 75%
The model gave 75% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
MIBR fe 53%QUINTESSÊNCIA 47%
The model gave 53% on MIBR fe — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUINTESSÊNCIA · 56%
Series resultQUINTESSÊNCIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2