CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Procyon#119 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon ban
41%31%
METANOIA Wolves · 13 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%Procyon · 12 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
14%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 10 mapsedge Procyon +53%Procyon · 5 maps
InfernoProcyon pick
38%57%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge Procyon +19%Procyon · 10 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves pick
60%55%
METANOIA Wolves · 6 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +5%Procyon · 7 maps
NukeMETANOIA Wolves ban
43%44%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsnearly even -1%Procyon · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
38%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge Procyon +12%Procyon · 2 maps
AnubisProcyon ban
40%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapedge Procyon +10%Procyon · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanProcyon remove Dust2
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Ancient
4. PickProcyon take Inferno
5. BanProcyon remove Anubis
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (38% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
METANOIA Wolves 58%Procyon 42%
The model gave 58% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Anubisprediction correct10:13
METANOIA Wolves 37%Procyon 63%
The model gave 63% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
METANOIA Wolves 48%Procyon 52%
The model gave 52% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 53%
Series resultProcyon 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3