CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR fe#203 in the world · win 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheDAMAJUANA pick
40%43%
MIBR fe · 1 mapnearly even -3%DAMAJUANA · 3 maps
AncientDAMAJUANA ban
43%50%
MIBR fe · 3 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +7%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
AnubisMIBR fe pick
50%43%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge MIBR fe +7%DAMAJUANA · 3 maps
DefaultMIBR fe ban
50%57%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +7%DAMAJUANA · 3 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%33%
MIBR fe · 1 mapedge MIBR fe +27%DAMAJUANA · 2 maps
MirageMIBR fe ban
50%43%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge MIBR fe +7%DAMAJUANA · 3 maps
NukeDAMAJUANA ban
60%33%
MIBR fe · 1 mapedge MIBR fe +27%DAMAJUANA · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR fe remove Mirage
2. BanDAMAJUANA remove Ancient
3. PickMIBR fe take Anubis
4. PickDAMAJUANA take Cache
5. BanDAMAJUANA remove Nuke
6. BanMIBR fe remove Default
DeciderInferno (60% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
MIBR fe 46%DAMAJUANA 54%
The model gave 54% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by MIBR fe.
Cacheprediction correct6:13
MIBR fe 44%DAMAJUANA 56%
The model gave 56% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
MIBR fe 57%DAMAJUANA 43%
The model gave 57% on MIBR fe — the map was taken by MIBR fe.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR fe · 56%
Series resultMIBR fe 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3