CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · win 1:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragepaiN Academy pick
43%47%
DAMAJUANA · 3 mapsnearly even -4%paiN Academy · 15 maps
CacheDAMAJUANA pick
50%38%
DAMAJUANA · 4 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +12%paiN Academy · 9 maps
Dust2DAMAJUANA ban
50%47%
DAMAJUANA · 0 mapsnearly even +3%paiN Academy · 13 maps
AnubisDAMAJUANA ban
38%50%
DAMAJUANA · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +12%paiN Academy · 8 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
33%43%
DAMAJUANA · 2 mapsedge paiN Academy +10%paiN Academy · 10 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%60%
DAMAJUANA · 3 mapsnearly even -3%paiN Academy · 6 maps
InfernopaiN Academy ban
33%27%
DAMAJUANA · 2 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +6%paiN Academy · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDAMAJUANA remove Dust2
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Inferno
3. PickDAMAJUANA take Cache
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
6. BanDAMAJUANA remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
DAMAJUANA 47%paiN Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 54%
Series resultDAMAJUANA 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1