CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MIBR fe#203 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2MIBR fe ban
40%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 16 mapsedge MIBR fe +10%MIBR fe · 0 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves pick
57%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 10 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +7%MIBR fe · 2 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
13%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 11 mapsedge MIBR fe +37%MIBR fe · 0 maps
CacheMETANOIA Wolves ban
25%33%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge MIBR fe +8%MIBR fe · 2 maps
DefaultMIBR fe ban
44%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge MIBR fe +6%MIBR fe · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
43%60%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge MIBR fe +17%MIBR fe · 1 map
InfernoMIBR fe pick
38%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge MIBR fe +12%MIBR fe · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanMIBR fe remove Dust2
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Ancient
4. PickMIBR fe take Inferno
5. BanMIBR fe remove Default
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (43% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
METANOIA Wolves 31%MIBR fe 69%
The model gave 69% on MIBR fe — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
METANOIA Wolves 43%MIBR fe 57%
The model gave 57% on MIBR fe — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR fe · 55%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2