CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
50%40%
BORRACHEIROS · 8 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +10%METANOIA Wolves · 16 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
47%14%
BORRACHEIROS · 11 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +33%METANOIA Wolves · 10 maps
AncientBORRACHEIROS pick
54%57%
BORRACHEIROS · 9 mapsnearly even -3%METANOIA Wolves · 10 maps
InfernoBORRACHEIROS ban
36%38%
BORRACHEIROS · 7 mapsnearly even -2%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%38%
BORRACHEIROS · 6 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +22%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves ban
56%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 5 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +6%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
33%38%
BORRACHEIROS · 5 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +5%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Ancient
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Anubis
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
BORRACHEIROS 44%METANOIA Wolves 56%
The model gave 56% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
BORRACHEIROS 58%METANOIA Wolves 42%
The model gave 58% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBORRACHEIROS · 63%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2