CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
40%47%
METANOIA Wolves · 16 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +7%MEIA NOITE · 11 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves pick
53%31%
METANOIA Wolves · 11 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +22%MEIA NOITE · 12 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
14%38%
METANOIA Wolves · 10 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +24%MEIA NOITE · 9 maps
NukeMETANOIA Wolves ban
38%45%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +7%MEIA NOITE · 7 maps
DefaultMEIA NOITE pick
38%80%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +42%MEIA NOITE · 6 maps
CacheMEIA NOITE ban
29%33%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsnearly even -4%MEIA NOITE · 5 maps
InfernoMEIA NOITE ban
38%57%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +19%MEIA NOITE · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanMEIA NOITE remove Inferno
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Ancient
4. PickMEIA NOITE take Default
5. BanMEIA NOITE remove Cache
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (40% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
METANOIA Wolves 74%MEIA NOITE 26%
The model gave 74% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
METANOIA Wolves 40%MEIA NOITE 60%
The model gave 60% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
METANOIA Wolves 42%MEIA NOITE 58%
The model gave 58% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 53%
Series resultMEIA NOITE 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3