CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTurma do Pagode pick
71%35%
Turma do Pagode · 20 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +36%Bounty Hunters · 13 maps
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
43%47%
Turma do Pagode · 17 mapsnearly even -4%Bounty Hunters · 11 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
57%50%
Turma do Pagode · 3 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +7%Bounty Hunters · 22 maps
CacheBounty Hunters pick
67%58%
Turma do Pagode · 2 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +9%Bounty Hunters · 22 maps
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
43%55%
Turma do Pagode · 3 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +12%Bounty Hunters · 18 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%58%
Turma do Pagode · 8 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +8%Bounty Hunters · 8 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
56%50%
Turma do Pagode · 5 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +6%Bounty Hunters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
2. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
3. PickTurma do Pagode take Ancient
4. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
5. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
6. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (50% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:1
Turma do Pagode 54%Bounty Hunters 46%
The model gave 54% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Ancientprediction correct19:17
Turma do Pagode 83%Bounty Hunters 17%
The model gave 83% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Model check result
Model favoriteTurma do Pagode · 66%
Series resultTurma do Pagode 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2