Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
59%65%
Bounty Hunters · 18 mapsedge UNO MILLE +6%UNO MILLE · 13 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
63%44%
Bounty Hunters · 12 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +19%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
AncientUNO MILLE ban
61%50%
Bounty Hunters · 14 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +11%UNO MILLE · 2 maps
NukeBounty Hunters pick
73%67%
Bounty Hunters · 11 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +6%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
38%67%
Bounty Hunters · 4 mapsedge UNO MILLE +29%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
50%60%
Bounty Hunters · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 6 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%64%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +14%UNO MILLE · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
3. PickBounty Hunters take Nuke
4. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
5. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
DeciderAnubis (38% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct8:13
Bounty Hunters 37%UNO MILLE 63%
The model gave 63% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
Bounty Hunters 64%UNO MILLE 36%
The model gave 64% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 59%
Series resultUNO MILLE 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2