FERJEE Rainhas do Clutch 2026 · BO5
result vs prediction
Shimmer#241 in the world · loss 1:3series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:3
MIBR fe#203 in the world · win 3:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageShimmer pick
50%33%
Shimmer · 4 mapsedge Shimmer +17%MIBR fe · 2 maps
Dust2MIBR fe pick
50%33%
Shimmer · 2 mapsedge Shimmer +17%MIBR fe · 2 maps
AncientMIBR fe pick
33%60%
Shimmer · 2 mapsedge MIBR fe +27%MIBR fe · 1 map
DefaultShimmer pick
50%40%
Shimmer · 0 mapsedge Shimmer +10%MIBR fe · 1 map
NukeMIBR fe ban
60%50%
Shimmer · 1 mapedge Shimmer +10%MIBR fe · 0 maps
OverpassShimmer ban
50%60%
Shimmer · 0 mapsedge MIBR fe +10%MIBR fe · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShimmer remove Overpass
2. BanMIBR fe remove Nuke
3. PickShimmer take Mirage
4. PickMIBR fe take Ancient
5. PickShimmer take Default
6. PickMIBR fe take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
Shimmer 23%MIBR fe 77%
The model gave 77% on MIBR fe — the map was taken by Shimmer.
Nukeprediction missed21:25
Shimmer 63%MIBR fe 37%
The model gave 63% on Shimmer — the map was taken by MIBR fe.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Shimmer 64%MIBR fe 36%
The model gave 64% on Shimmer — the map was taken by MIBR fe.
Infernoprediction missed4:13
Shimmer 53%MIBR fe 47%
The model gave 53% on Shimmer — the map was taken by MIBR fe.
Model check result
Model favoriteShimmer · 52%
Series resultMIBR fe 1:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 4