CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SINNERS pick
54%58%
SINNERS · 9 mapsnearly even -4%ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 maps
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
44%79%
SINNERS · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +35%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%55%
SINNERS · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
60%64%
SINNERS · 6 mapsnearly even -4%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
40%50%
SINNERS · 1 mapedge ex-Zero Tenacity +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
27%50%
SINNERS · 7 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +23%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
50%50%
SINNERS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickSINNERS take Dust2
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
6. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct7:13
SINNERS 49%ex-Zero Tenacity 51%
The model gave 51% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Cacheprediction correct9:13
SINNERS 16%ex-Zero Tenacity 84%
The model gave 84% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 68%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2