Tipsport Open Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
95 Vikings#221 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Optibet#221 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubis95 Vikings pick
60%40%
95 Vikings · 1 mapedge 95 Vikings +20%Optibet · 1 map
Ancient95 Vikings ban
50%40%
95 Vikings · 0 mapsedge 95 Vikings +10%Optibet · 1 map
CacheOptibet ban
40%50%
95 Vikings · 1 mapedge Optibet +10%Optibet · 0 maps
Dust2Optibet pick
40%50%
95 Vikings · 1 mapedge Optibet +10%Optibet · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban95 Vikings remove Ancient
2. BanOptibet remove Cache
3. Pick95 Vikings take Anubis
4. PickOptibet take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed5:13
95 Vikings 72%Optibet 28%
The model gave 72% on 95 Vikings — the map was taken by Optibet.
Ancientprediction missed0:13
95 Vikings 57%Optibet 43%
The model gave 57% on 95 Vikings — the map was taken by Optibet.
Model check result
Model favorite95 Vikings · 55%
Series resultOptibet 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2