Tipsport Open Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE Talentloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Four Magic#181 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisINFINITE Talent pick
40%60%
INFINITE Talent · 1 mapedge Four Magic +20%Four Magic · 1 map
AncientINFINITE Talent ban
50%60%
INFINITE Talent · 0 mapsedge Four Magic +10%Four Magic · 1 map
CacheFour Magic ban
60%50%
INFINITE Talent · 1 mapedge INFINITE Talent +10%Four Magic · 0 maps
Dust2Four Magic pick
60%50%
INFINITE Talent · 1 mapedge INFINITE Talent +10%Four Magic · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE Talent remove Ancient
2. BanFour Magic remove Cache
3. PickINFINITE Talent take Anubis
4. PickFour Magic take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed4:13
INFINITE Talent 63%Four Magic 37%
The model gave 63% on INFINITE Talent — the map was taken by Four Magic.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
INFINITE Talent 37%Four Magic 63%
The model gave 63% on Four Magic — the map was taken by Four Magic.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE Talent · 50%
Series resultFour Magic 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2