Tipsport Open Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
aimclub#98 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Inner Circle Academy#80 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
33%61%
aimclub · 5 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +28%Inner Circle Academy · 29 maps
Ancientaimclub ban
30%50%
aimclub · 6 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +20%Inner Circle Academy · 24 maps
Anubispossible decider
67%62%
aimclub · 5 mapsedge aimclub +5%Inner Circle Academy · 22 maps
Mirageaimclub pick
64%50%
aimclub · 7 mapsedge aimclub +14%Inner Circle Academy · 14 maps
Nukeaimclub ban
50%52%
aimclub · 0 mapsnearly even -2%Inner Circle Academy · 17 maps
CacheInner Circle Academy ban
57%42%
aimclub · 3 mapsedge aimclub +15%Inner Circle Academy · 8 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
71%43%
aimclub · 3 mapsedge aimclub +28%Inner Circle Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banaimclub remove Nuke
2. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
3. Pickaimclub take Mirage
4. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
5. BanInner Circle Academy remove Cache
6. Banaimclub remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (67% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:16
aimclub 53%Inner Circle Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on aimclub — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
aimclub 66%Inner Circle Academy 34%
The model gave 66% on aimclub — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteaimclub · 50%
Series resultInner Circle Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2