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MySkill LG UltraGear Tournament 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NOVAQ#237 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRune Eaters pick
50%50%
Rune Eaters · 14 mapsnearly even +0%NOVAQ · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
47%50%
Rune Eaters · 13 mapsnearly even -3%NOVAQ · 0 maps
Dust2NOVAQ ban
56%50%
Rune Eaters · 12 mapsedge Rune Eaters +6%NOVAQ · 0 maps
InfernoNOVAQ ban
56%50%
Rune Eaters · 5 mapsedge Rune Eaters +6%NOVAQ · 0 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
25%50%
Rune Eaters · 4 mapsedge NOVAQ +25%NOVAQ · 0 maps
DefaultRune Eaters ban
43%50%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge NOVAQ +7%NOVAQ · 0 maps
OverpassNOVAQ pick
33%50%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge NOVAQ +17%NOVAQ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
2. BanNOVAQ remove Dust2
3. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
4. PickNOVAQ take Overpass
5. BanNOVAQ remove Inferno
6. BanRune Eaters remove Default
DeciderAncient (47% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
Rune Eaters 53%NOVAQ 47%
The model gave 53% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Rune Eaters 50%NOVAQ 50%
The model gave 50% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by NOVAQ.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Rune Eaters 56%NOVAQ 44%
The model gave 56% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by NOVAQ.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 72%
Series resultNOVAQ 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3