Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
56%29%
Isurus · 12 mapsedge Isurus +27%MIBR Academy · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
55%57%
Isurus · 7 mapsnearly even -2%MIBR Academy · 3 maps
MirageMIBR Academy ban
60%50%
Isurus · 6 mapsedge Isurus +10%MIBR Academy · 4 maps
NukeIsurus ban
57%63%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge MIBR Academy +6%MIBR Academy · 4 maps
OverpassIsurus ban
43%43%
Isurus · 3 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR Academy · 3 maps
InfernoMIBR Academy ban
44%50%
Isurus · 5 mapsedge MIBR Academy +6%MIBR Academy · 0 maps
DefaultMIBR Academy pick
67%67%
Isurus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Nuke
2. BanMIBR Academy remove Inferno
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. PickMIBR Academy take Default
5. BanMIBR Academy remove Mirage
6. BanIsurus remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (55% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
Isurus 42%MIBR Academy 58%
The model gave 58% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Dust2prediction missed12:16
Isurus 78%MIBR Academy 22%
The model gave 78% on Isurus — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 61%
Series resultMIBR Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2