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Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
train launcher#234 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJohnny Speeds ban
40%36%
train launcher · 1 mapnearly even +4%Johnny Speeds · 10 maps
Dust2train launcher pick
50%50%
train launcher · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Johnny Speeds · 10 maps
InfernoJohnny Speeds pick
60%73%
train launcher · 1 mapedge Johnny Speeds +13%Johnny Speeds · 7 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
60%40%
train launcher · 1 mapedge train launcher +20%Johnny Speeds · 6 maps
Overpasstrain launcher ban
50%70%
train launcher · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +20%Johnny Speeds · 6 maps
Ancienttrain launcher ban
50%67%
train launcher · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +17%Johnny Speeds · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
train launcher · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +10%Johnny Speeds · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Bantrain launcher remove Overpass
2. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
3. Picktrain launcher take Dust2
4. PickJohnny Speeds take Inferno
5. BanJohnny Speeds remove Mirage
6. Bantrain launcher remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed6:13
train launcher 72%Johnny Speeds 28%
The model gave 72% on train launcher — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Infernoprediction missed13:3
train launcher 33%Johnny Speeds 67%
The model gave 67% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by train launcher.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
train launcher 33%Johnny Speeds 67%
The model gave 67% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 74%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3