Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 1:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
K27#44 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageINFINITE pick
57%55%
INFINITE · 10 mapsnearly even +2%K27 · 7 maps
AncientK27 pick
60%64%
INFINITE · 6 mapsnearly even -4%K27 · 7 maps
NukeK27 ban
36%30%
INFINITE · 7 mapsedge INFINITE +6%K27 · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%63%
INFINITE · 5 mapsedge K27 +7%K27 · 4 maps
OverpassINFINITE ban
40%60%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge K27 +20%K27 · 6 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
60%43%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge INFINITE +17%K27 · 3 maps
InfernoK27 ban
57%50%
INFINITE · 3 mapsedge INFINITE +7%K27 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Overpass
2. BanK27 remove Inferno
3. PickINFINITE take Mirage
4. PickK27 take Ancient
5. BanK27 remove Nuke
6. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (56% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
INFINITE 50%K27 50%
The model gave 50% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 57%
Series resultINFINITE 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1