CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TDK#86 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
63%78%
ex-RUBY · 26 mapsedge TDK +15%TDK · 14 maps
Mirageex-RUBY pick
52%43%
ex-RUBY · 17 mapsedge ex-RUBY +9%TDK · 10 maps
OverpassTDK pick
63%78%
ex-RUBY · 12 mapsedge TDK +15%TDK · 14 maps
AncientTDK ban
42%64%
ex-RUBY · 15 mapsedge TDK +22%TDK · 10 maps
NukeTDK ban
73%40%
ex-RUBY · 22 mapsedge ex-RUBY +33%TDK · 1 map
Anubisex-RUBY ban
60%50%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapedge ex-RUBY +10%TDK · 6 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
50%45%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge ex-RUBY +5%TDK · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
2. BanTDK remove Nuke
3. Pickex-RUBY take Mirage
4. PickTDK take Overpass
5. BanTDK remove Ancient
6. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (63% / 78%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
ex-RUBY 62%TDK 38%
The model gave 62% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by TDK.
Overpassprediction correct9:13
ex-RUBY 30%TDK 70%
The model gave 70% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 51%
Series resultTDK 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2