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Showmatch CS · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Germany#29 in the world · win 13:3
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 13:3
Team Polandloss 3:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
Team Germany 50%Team Poland 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Germany — the map was taken by Team Germany.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Germany · 88%
Series resultTeam Germany 13:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1