CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Virtus.pro ban
46%62%
Virtus.pro · 9 mapsedge ex-RUBY +16%ex-RUBY · 25 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
75%73%
Virtus.pro · 4 mapsnearly even +2%ex-RUBY · 22 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%50%
Virtus.pro · 8 mapsedge Virtus.pro +17%ex-RUBY · 16 maps
OverpassVirtus.pro pick
64%63%
Virtus.pro · 10 mapsnearly even +1%ex-RUBY · 12 maps
AncientVirtus.pro ban
63%42%
Virtus.pro · 4 mapsedge Virtus.pro +21%ex-RUBY · 15 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
50%60%
Virtus.pro · 4 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Defaultex-RUBY ban
40%50%
Virtus.pro · 1 mapedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVirtus.pro remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
3. PickVirtus.pro take Overpass
4. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
5. Banex-RUBY remove Default
6. BanVirtus.pro remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
Virtus.pro 69%ex-RUBY 31%
The model gave 69% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Virtus.pro 32%ex-RUBY 68%
The model gave 68% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 52%
Series resultex-RUBY 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2