CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
70%77%
GenOne · 36 mapsedge 100 Thieves +7%100 Thieves · 9 maps
Ancient100 Thieves pick
46%59%
GenOne · 20 mapsedge 100 Thieves +13%100 Thieves · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
62%50%
GenOne · 25 mapsedge GenOne +12%100 Thieves · 8 maps
InfernoGenOne ban
62%55%
GenOne · 9 mapsedge GenOne +7%100 Thieves · 7 maps
Overpass100 Thieves ban
37%60%
GenOne · 15 mapsedge 100 Thieves +23%100 Thieves · 1 map
Anubis100 Thieves ban
57%60%
GenOne · 10 mapsnearly even -3%100 Thieves · 1 map
MirageGenOne ban
50%55%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge 100 Thieves +5%100 Thieves · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. Pick100 Thieves take Ancient
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Overpass
6. BanGenOne remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (62% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed6:13
GenOne 54%100 Thieves 46%
The model gave 54% on GenOne — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
GenOne 44%100 Thieves 56%
The model gave 56% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 52%
Series result100 Thieves 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2