Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Sashi#47 in the worldseries probability
53%47%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
INOX Division#72 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
56%70%
Sashi · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +14%INOX Division · 19 maps
Dust2Sashi ban
41%62%
Sashi · 13 mapsedge INOX Division +21%INOX Division · 17 maps
InfernoINOX Division pick
78%67%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +11%INOX Division · 23 maps
AncientSashi ban
42%60%
Sashi · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +18%INOX Division · 16 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
67%50%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +17%INOX Division · 10 maps
CacheSashi pick
64%56%
Sashi · 10 mapsedge Sashi +8%INOX Division · 5 maps
DefaultINOX Division ban
60%50%
Sashi · 1 mapedge Sashi +10%INOX Division · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Dust2
2. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
3. PickSashi take Cache
4. PickINOX Division take Inferno
5. BanINOX Division remove Default
6. BanSashi remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (56% / 70%)