European Pro League Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
KOLESIE#117 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeKOLESIE pick
62%65%
KOLESIE · 17 mapsnearly even -3%INOX Division · 19 maps
Dust2INOX Division pick
31%74%
KOLESIE · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +43%INOX Division · 19 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%56%
KOLESIE · 11 mapsnearly even +4%INOX Division · 12 maps
AncientKOLESIE ban
44%62%
KOLESIE · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +18%INOX Division · 9 maps
InfernoKOLESIE ban
50%58%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +8%INOX Division · 15 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
50%40%
KOLESIE · 8 mapsedge KOLESIE +10%INOX Division · 6 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
67%50%
KOLESIE · 11 mapsedge KOLESIE +17%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKOLESIE remove Inferno
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickKOLESIE take Nuke
4. PickINOX Division take Dust2
5. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
6. BanKOLESIE remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (60% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
KOLESIE 49%INOX Division 51%
The model gave 51% on INOX Division — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
KOLESIE 12%INOX Division 88%
The model gave 88% on INOX Division — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 51%
Series resultKOLESIE 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2